Economic Indicators

The Voting Machine and a Different Kind of Bubble

09 Mar: The Voting Machine and a Different Kind of Bubble

Ben Graham, the father of value investing, once said of the stock market, “In the short run, the market is a voting machine but in the long run it is a weighing machine.” To Graham the market was like a popularity contest. Investors “vote” for a stock out of considered enthusiasm for its prospects. Results however are determined in the long run as profits are “weighed” year after year and intrinsic value is revealed.

Low Interest Rates

13 Feb: Behaving responsibly in a low interest rate environment – a central banker’s perspective

The growth trend has been declining in many mature economies not just since the crisis, but for several decades. This slowdown in growth has led to lower long-term interest rates. The structural causes of this trend of slowing growth is a subject of controversy among specialists. Demographic and technological developments are mentioned, as are the effects of the financial cycle, which may be out of sync with the business cycles. I do not want to pre-empt this ongoing discussion. Instead, I would like to focus on two issues, which in the current context are very relevant from a monetary policy perspective – regardless of the structural causes underlying the weak economic growth.

Chinese Debt

02 Feb: Looming debt problem in China

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) released a report in which it increased its forecast for China’s GDP growth by 0.3 percentage points to 6.5 percent. However, the IMF report also warned that “slow progress in addressing corporate debt” posed a risk to the forecast. China’s claims to be over the worst of its corporate debt problem seem to be wishful thinking. One thing is certain: The debt problem is real; it’s a drag on growth; and policies so far have not gotten rid of it.

Economic Data

18 Mar: How To Read Economic Data

We want to fill a gap here. A lot of economic data is published day in and day out but yet most of us don’t really understand the lingo behind it. Let’s bring some clarity into this. Regularly we come across certain terms dealing with measures of economic activity. Most of them are pretty straight forward if you give it a chance.

Employment Situation Report

13 Mar: Analyzing Economic Indicators

Why is the employment situation report an important economic indicator and how do we interpret the report to get clues on the strength of the Economy. Its important to look at the different parts of the report and anlyze the different key data points to get an insight into how specific industries are perfoming.

economic indicators

13 Mar: Most Important Economic Indicators

What are the most important economic indicators and how you can use them in your day to day trading ventures. How are markets reacting to certain indicators and which of them are those that really matter.The following article shows you the economic indicators that track the health of the U.S. Economy and how the numbers should be interpreted when trying to come up with meaningful conclusions about the current state of the economy.