Hedge Fund Analysis

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06 Apr: herbalife the sinking titanic

The battle for Herbalife (HLF) is heating up once again. QTR Research most recently outlined its short thesis on Herbalife’s stock ahead of a documentary’s release, a movie about Pershing Square Capital manager Bill Ackman’s $1 billion short bet on Herbalife and his drive to expose the company as a pyramid scheme. It looks like the Titanic found its iceberg.

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10 Mar: Short Thesis – the strange tale of WINS Finance Holdings

Wins’ stock valuation is a puzzle. Investor Jacob Ma-Weaver, at Cable Car Capital, notes that most of the stock’s gains occurred on tiny volumes of odd-lot trades and end-of-the-day transactions. Some 40% of Wins’ trades on a recent day were for one share apiece. On March 09th 2017, the obscure Chinese financial company, headquartered in New York, trades at $315. Yes $315. That is not a typo. Up +1200%.

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09 Mar: The Voting Machine and a Different Kind of Bubble

Ben Graham, the father of value investing, once said of the stock market, “In the short run, the market is a voting machine but in the long run it is a weighing machine.” To Graham the market was like a popularity contest. Investors “vote” for a stock out of considered enthusiasm for its prospects. Results however are determined in the long run as profits are “weighed” year after year and intrinsic value is revealed.